In this article, neil howe and richard jackson explore how demographic trends are shaping the geopolitical cartography of the 21st century. Its workingage population will continue to increase well into the 2020s. From the fall of the roman and the mayan empires to the black death to the colonization of the new world and the youthdriven revolutions of the twentieth century, demographic trends have played a decisive role in many of the great invasions, political upheavals, migrations, and environmental catastrophes of history. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s planning longterm national strategy without considering population projections is like setting sail without a map or a compass. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s by neil howe and richard jackson the risk of social and political upheaval could grow throughout the developing worldeven as the developed worlds. Global health and aging, by national institute of aging. Globalization at risk with the 2008 financial crisis. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental.
Even as economic growth slows, the developed countries will have to transfer a. By neil howe and richard jackson the risk of social and political upheaval could grow throughout the developing worldeven as the developed worlds capacity to deal with such threats declines. Each area reflects a significant need and market opportunity, or an area where there is ample opportunity to do good and do well. He has recently written a piece called global aging and the crisis of the. By the 2020s, an ominous new conjuncture of demographic trends may once. Post crisis, the global economy struggled to generate sustained growth, while the emergence of new technologiescloud computing, smart phones, artificial intelligencebegan to disrupt every sector. The 2010s was a decade of recovery and restructuring. Aging us has been publishing since 2009 and has amassed 12 volumes as of 2020. In global aging and the crisis of the 2020s, authors neil howe and richard jackson discuss the phenomenon of global aging, an ominous new conjecture of demographic trends. This study maps and analyses current and future global trends in the fields of. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s, demographic. Global trends 2020 office of the director of national intelligence. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s inter american.
Japan faces a similar aging crisis that could crimp its longer run economic recovery, but. Aging, health, and social policy crisis and crossroads. The developed world has been aging for decades, due to falling birthrates and rising life expectancy. But a top french demographer says that developing nations. Global trends to 2035 economy and society european parliament. This article appeared in the january 2011 edition of current history, volume 10, issue 732. Free download of global health and aging by national institute of aging. By the 2020s, an ominous new conjuncture of demographic trends may once again threaten widespread disruption. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council.
Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s center for strategic and. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s phils stock world. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s business insider. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s john mauldins. European commission provides an indepth overview of ageingrelated costs in the eu. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s, demographic storms ahead economics demographics jan 12, 2011 03. For the worlds wealthy nations, the 2020s are set to be a decade of rapid population aging and population decline.
Postcrisis, the global economy struggled to generate. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s mauldin economics. Global aging and the crisis of the 2020s outside the box. Pdf global aging and the crisis of the 2020 s semantic scholar.